CLARITY Act chances sink below 20% as Senate’s path to 60 votes narrows
The 암호화폐 bill had climbed to 34% odds within the past day, but wavering Republicans and a Democratic counteroffer have sharply reversed expectations.
The CLARITY Act is heading toward a critical Senate vote with no clear coalition capable of delivering the 60 votes it needs.
Expectations forthe landmark 암호화폐 market-structure billdeteriorated sharply Tuesday, with Polymarketoddsof enactment falling below 20% after reaching about 34% during the previous 24 hours.
The reversal coincided with signs that Republican leaders are struggling to hold their own conference while Democrats demand additionalconcessions before supporting the legislation.
The Senate is expected to vote Tuesday afternoon on whether to proceed with the bill. Clearing that hurdle requires 60 votes, meaning Republicans cannot advance it alone even if all 53 GOP senators support the measure.
However, that assumption increasingly looks difficult as Sens. Susan Collins and John Cornyn are among Republicans who have yet to commit to the legislation.
According toreports, Collins has raised concerns about whether the bill could accelerate deposit flight from community banks, one of the financial industry's central objections to allowing 암호화폐 firms to compete more aggressively for customer balances.
Meanwhile, Sen. John Curtis plans to support opening debate but has drawn a distinction between allowing the process to continue and backing the legislation itself. He has said the current text would not win his vote on final passage.
The uncertainty has prompted the White House to intensify its outreach to Republican senators, according to Semafor, as administration officials try to prevent banking-industry opposition from peeling away votes the legislation can scarcely afford to lose.
The arithmetic leaves Republican negotiators trying to protect their right flank while finding enough Democrats to crossthe 60-vote line.
That second challenge also became harder Monday night.
Senate Democrats agreed after a private meeting to send Republicans their own counterproposal. Democrats have since delivered the document to GOP negotiators, though they have not yet publicly disclosed its provisions.
출처: CryptoSlate